Title:

Analysis of Granger casuality between gold and selected financial assets

Group publication title:

Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Title in english:

Analiza przyczynowości między złotem i wybranymi klasami aktywów

Creator:

Mamcarz, Katarzyna

Subject and Keywords:

stock ; bond and real estate markets ; gold price ; VAR models ; Granger causality ; rynek akcji ; rynek obligacji ; rynek nieruchomości ; cena złota ; modele VAR ; przyczynowość Grangera

Description:

Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu = Research Papers of Wrocław University of Economics; 2020; vol. 64, nr 7, s. 74-89

Abstrakt:

Gold belongs among the assets which show low or negative correlations with the markets for fundamental financial assets, and can serve as an alternative form of capital investment. Therefore, it becomes material to assess the impact of these markets on the gold market (prices), and the correlations existing between them. Investors’ decisions to allocate capital in these markets determine the kind and direction of causation between the assets in question. The aim of this article is to assess the causality between the rates of return on investments in gold and in the following assets: stocks, bonds, and real estate, represented by the corresponding market indices. The research covered the period 1997-2018. The analysis employed the VAR model to test linear Granger (non)causality and the variance decomposition. Apart from two cases of unidirectional causality, i.e. from bond returns to gold, and from gold returns to real estate, no other types of causality occurred, which except for these cases, implies that changes in gold prices did not impact on investors’ decisions of engaging capital on other analyzed markets, and vice versa

Publisher:

Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Place of publication:

Wrocław

Date:

2019

Resource Type:

artykuł

Resource Identifier:

doi:10.15611/pn.2020.7.06

Language:

eng

Relation:

Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu = Research Papers of Wrocław University of Economics; 2020; vol. 64, nr 7

Rights:

Pewne prawa zastrzeżone na rzecz Autorów i Wydawcy

Access Rights:

Dla wszystkich zgodnie z licencją

License:

CC BY-SA 4.0

Location:

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu